报告题目：Advancing the Understanding and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones using Aircraft Observations – A Global Perspective
报告人：Robert Rogers （Asia-Pacific Typhoon Collaborative Research Center）
时间：2025年7月4日，周五下午2:00-3:30
地点：大气楼D103会议室
Abstract: Observations play a critical role in any scientific endeavor, as they provide ground-truth for testing theories and evaluating models. In the case of tropical cyclones (TCs), observations additionally provide real-time information on TC position, intensity, and structure. These capabilities can combine to improve the prediction of TC behavior.
In this talk I will focus on airborne TC observations and describe how such observations, collected over many decades in the Atlantic basin and more recently in the Western North Pacific, can serve to advance our understanding and prediction of TCs. I will first provide an overview of the airborne sampling capabilities in each basin, and then I will show examples of how such observations have been used to advance the science of TC structure and intensity change as well as improving the prediction of TC track, intensity, and structure. Finally, I will look toward the future and describe a new experiment in China that is being developed that broadens the research focus to include TC hazards and their associated impacts. I will also describe international collaborations that are being planned during this year’s typhoon season.
Brief introduction to the speaker: Robert (Rob) Rogers is the Science Director and Chief Scientist for Typhoon Observations and Research at the Asia-Pacific Typhoon Collaborative Research Center in Shanghai, China. His main areas of research involve studying the role of convective- and vortex-scale processes in tropical cyclone (TC) structure and intensity change, primarily using in situ and remotely-sensed aircraft and satellite observations and numerical models. Prior to his current position, Dr. Rogers worked at the Hurricane Research Division within the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, where he participated in many hurricane hunter missions, experiencing a wide range of conditions ranging from lightning strikes in outer rainbands to periods of zero gravity during eyewall penetrations of rapidly-intensifying hurricanes. He received his Bachelor’s degree in Environmental Science from University of Virginia and his M.S. and Ph.D in Meteorology from The Pennsylvania State University. He has received funding from NOAA, NASA, ONR, and NSF for his research. He has been interviewed for Science Magazine and The New York Times and he has appeared on the Today Show, Fox News, and MSNBC to discuss his research. He received the Banner I. Miller Award, which is an AMS award for outstanding contribution to the science of hurricane and tropical weather forecasting in a publication with international circulation.
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